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Regional Drought Update Date
November 6, 2020
Site Section
Drought Status Update

Drought Early Warning Update for the Northeast


DEWS Regions:
Update Status:

Weekly, while drought conditions persist

Continued improvement in drought conditions, but little in the way of precipitation in the next few days.

For more details, see the Northeast Drought Early Warning System Dashboard.

Key Points 

  • Extreme Drought (D3) is now limited to southwest Maine and southeast New Hampshire.
  • Southeastern Rhode Island and southeastern Massachusetts saw conditions improve from Extreme Drought (D3) to Severe Drought (D2).
  • Northern Maine and portions of southern New England saw one-category improvements.
  • Hydrologic drought concerns continued: Most groundwater levels have responded to the recent rains and the reduction in evapotranspiration as the leaves are mainly off the trees and temps are lower, but levels are still below normal across New York and New England.
Current Conditions

U.S. Drought Monitor Conditions: Northeast |

November 06, 2020
Main Stats
1%
of the Northeast is experiencing extreme drought (D3)
7%
of the Northeast is experiencing severe drought (D2)
42%
of the Northeast is experiencing moderate drought (D1)

State Reported Impacts

Changes in the Northeast?

High-level overview of the impact of reduced snowpack in the Northeast: https://e360.yale.edu/digest/declining-snow-cover-in-u-s-northeast-will-have-major-impacts-on-rivers-study-finds

Current Conditions

Accumulated Precipitation Departure From Normal (includes precipitation for Nov 5)

  • Recent rainfall has reversed the downward trend of precipitation departure from normal. However, there is still a ways to go to get back to normal conditions.

Chart of accumulated precipitation departure from normal (in inches) for Caribou Area, ME,  Concord Area, NH, and Providence Area, RI

Outlooks

  • The 8-14 day outlook favors above-normal temperatures for the Northeast. Above-normal precipitation is favored for the Northeast, except for northern Maine and western New York, where normal precipitation is favored.
  • The 3-4 week outlooks favor equal chances for above- or below-normal temperatures for the northern part of the Northeast, and above-normal temperatures for the southern part. The 3-4 week outlook favors above-normal precipitation for Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, most of New York, and northern Massachusetts. Equal chances for above- or below-normal precipitation are favored for the rest of Massachusetts and New York, Rhode Island, and Connecticut.

Temperature Outlook 8-14 Day

NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8-14 day temperature outlook for the Northeast U.S.
8-14 day precipitation outlook for the Northeast U.S. from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Valid for November 13-19, 2020. 

Precipitation Outlook 8-14 Day

NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8-14 day precipitation outlook for the Northeast U.S.
8-14 day precipitation outlook for the Northeast U.S. from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Valid for November 13-19, 2020. 

Temperature Outlook Week 3-4

NOAA Climate Prediction Center week 3-4 temperature outlook for the Northeast U.S.
A 3-4-week temperature outlook for the U.S. from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Made October 30, 2020. Valid for November 14 - 27, 2020. 

Precipitation Outlook Week 3-4

NOAA Climate Prediction Center week 3-4 precipitation outlook for the Northeast U.S.
A 3-4-week precipitation outlook for the U.S. from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. Made October 30, 2020. Valid for November 14 - 27, 2020. 

Current CPC Outlooks: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/

Additional Resources

Contacts for More Information

Sylvia Reeves
Regional Drought Information Coordinator (Northeast DEWS)
NOAA/CIRES/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)
Email: sylvia.reeves@noaa.gov

Ellen L. Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region
NOAA/NESDIS/National Centers for Environmental Information
Email: Ellen.L.Mecray@noaa.gov

Special Thanks

Sylvia Reeves
NOAA/National Integrated Drought Information System (NIDIS)

Samantha Borisoff, Jessica Spaccio, Keith Eggleston, Art DeGaetano
Northeast Regional Climate Center

Ellen Mecray
Regional Climate Services Director, Eastern Region, NOAA

David Hollinger and Maria Janowiak
USDA Climate Hubs

Gardner Bent
USGS/New England Water Science Center

In partnership with National Weather Service Offices of the Northeast and State Climate Offices of the Northeast.