The ACF Basin is drought-free according to the most current U.S. Drought Monitor (as of December 8, 2020).
Our next briefing is on Tuesday, January 26, 2021 at 1pm ET.
ACF Climate Conditions and Outlooks
- Florida and the Southeast in the midst of a sharp warming trend over the last 5+ years, especially with nighttime temperatures.
- Record heat in Fall of 2020 and year-to-date for much of Florida, coastal Carolinas
- Abnormally dry conditions persist over eastern Georgia, other patches developing over south Alabama and north Florida
- Some dryness over the middle and lower ACF at 30-60 days, most of the basin above normal at 90 days
- Active pattern to bring more rainfall to the lower ACF in the next couple of days, lesser amounts to the north
- ”La Niña Advisory” now issued by NOAA, 100% chance of continuing through winter
- CPC seasonal forecast favors above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall
- Drought could develop in late winter/spring as the La Niña winter plays out
- Alabama Office of Water Resources states no reported water availability issues, no changes to AL Drought Declaration since 9/1/2020, areas of below normal precipitation since 10/1/2020 in southern 1/3 of AL.
Real-Time Streamflow & Forecasts
- Real-time streamflow in the ACF basin are currently in the high to below normal range.
- The ACF basin is currently ranked as normal flow for the 7-day average streamflow.
- 28-day average streamflow for the Chattahoochee River are currently in the above normal range.
- 28-day average streamflow for the Flint River are currently in the normal to above normal range.
- Real-time groundwater levels across the ACF basin range from much above normal to much below normal, with most stations ranked in the normal range.
- SERFC 10-day streamflow forecast - no large flow events expected
- SERFC 1 month streamflow forecast - near normal
- SERFC 3 month streamflow forecast - near normal
ACF Basin Reservoir Conditions
- Inflows into the projects are normal/above normal.
- Lanier, West Point, and W.F. George are transitioning to winter guide curve elevations, projects are operating slightly above winter pool elevations
- The ACF system conservation storage is in Zone 1 and is forecasted to stay in Zone 1 for the next few weeks.
Lawn and Garden Moisture Index
7-Day Rainfall Totals
30-Day Rainfall Departures
NOAA Seasonal Outlook (Dec - Feb)
Flint River at Albany
28-Day Average Streamflows
Real-Time Groundwater Conditions
ACF Reservoir Conditions: December 4, 2020
1-Month & 3-Month Mean Daily Streamflow Forecasts
David Zierden, FSU
Tom Littlepage, ADECA OWR
Paul Ankcorn, USGS
Troy Ephriam, USACE-Mobile District
Jeff Dobur, SERFC
Summary Prepared By:
Rachel McGuire, Auburn University
General Drought Information:
Drought Impact Reporter:
Southeast Climate Perspectives Map:
General Climate and El Niño Information:
Streamflow Monitoring & Forecasting:
The Complete Set of Briefing Slides From the ACF River Basin Drought Webinar:
Additional Information from the Southeast River Forecast Center:
To join the ACF mailing list or for webinar-related questions, please contact: